Previsioni sui mercati

Clacton by-election winner?

Count Binface Party

Conservative Party

Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent

At least 20%

At least 25%

Clacton by-election margin of victory?

Reform UK, ≥45%

Reform UK, ≥50%

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

Delcy Rodríguez

Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?

Giorgia Meloni

Elly Schlein

Clacton by-election: 3rd place

Reclaim Party

Rejoin EU

Clacton by-election: 2nd place

Official Monster Raving Loony Party

Piers Corbyn

Zambian presidential election winner?

Hakainde Hichilema

Brian Mundubile

Cook Islands general election winner?

Cook Islands Party

Democratic Party

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

PL

MDB

Clacton by-election: 4th place

Rejoin EU

Reclaim Party

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Gadi Eizenkot

Benjamin Netanyahu

UK snap election announced?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Sep 1, 2026

Argentina presidential election winner?

Javier Milei

Axel Kicillof

Lima Mayor winner?

Carlos Bruce

Francis Allison

Berlin state election winner?

Die Linke

CDU

Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections?

Helen Zille

Frank Chikane

Brazil presidential election: first round winner?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Flávio Bolsonaro

Brazilian Senate election winner?

Liberal Party

Brazil Union

Zambia National Assembly election winner?

UPND

NRPUP

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva, 5-10%

Lula da Silva, 10-15%

Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Flavio Bolsonaro

Next French presidential election winner?

Marine Le Pen

Édouard Philippe

Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?

Aleksandar Vučić

Ana Brnabić

How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

At least 6

At least 8

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election: Most Seats Won

PL

União Progressista

Vancouver mayoral election winner?

Ken Sim

Pete Fry

Bulgarian presidential election winner?

Iliana Yotova

Andrey Gyurov

French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?

Raphaël Glucksmann

Boris Vallaud

Iceland EU Membership Negotiations Referendum

How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?

40 or more

42 or more

Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?

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